Friday, 19 June 2009

The bag and its sights

Today, when the stock markets plummeted and anyone guess why or when, and how to handle unless the 'how', financial analysts, mathematicians and gurus of all kinds, in many cases exert disoriented practitioners whose ego collapses more than the bags.

The pity is that this exercise of humility it paid third who see their savings are disappearing without knowing why. Well, in this nebula, the common wisdom on Wall Street has developed over its history indicators that are not at all logical, but who have achieved high efficiency.

I, who was chairman of the board of advisors in Spain NFL, I can refer to the indicators that were designed on the sport and have worked well, frankly. Have nothing to do with the oval ball and bag, but let me tell you. In 1970 he merged the two leagues in the U.S., the National Football League (NFL) and the American Football League (AFL).

Indicators and reliability
Well, if the team due to the Super Bowl came from the old NFL, this year the shares rose. This indicator is called Super Bowl Indicator. Reliability was 80%. They do not doubt that this percentage of success is higher than any analyst, do not you think?

A few weeks ago the Pittsburgh Steelers, playing in the old NFL, they won the Super Bowl, which indicates a 80% chance that the stock markets go up this year, is it true? But what happened last year? Won the New England Patriots, also of the former NFL? Well, yes, this time the indicator failed, because the market dropped by 40%. This was the 20% error.

It also seems that Feng Shui is the compass that guides the Asian investments. Harmony and balance are the guiding principles of this ancient technique. Where did the idea?

However, the fortunes of wealthy Hong Kong, when the tsunami hit by the crisis that affects us brutally and lose much of their assets and portfolios, they decided to apply this ancient technique. Thus has emerged the Feng Shui Index, developed by the Asia Pacific Market. This index each year prophesies about the market developments.

Feng Shui and investment
Eastern tycoons increasingly targeting their Feng Shui consultant to decide their investment. According to the FS Index, the volatility dominate the Hong Kong Stock Exchange during the first half of 2009, again in the summer and fall climbing in the months of this year.

If we analyze it from a rational point of view, this conduct falls within the logic. After years and frenzied face of great uncertainty, one based on harmony and balance to provide additional doses of security techniques ancienne regime.

Another strange case is very interesting and Harvard MBA Indicator. This indicator was developed by a former student of this university and gave warning signs in 1987, 2000 and 2007 before the stock markets began to fall.

How does this indicator? Well very simple: this theory argues that the greater the number of MBA students from Harvard to join the financial sector is much more likely to fall bags.

Will wonder why. Well the answer is very simple and logical: if there is a great attraction to the financial sector, especially banks, which attract students from MBA, it means that banks are paying high wages, probably exaggerated, as has been seen.

Here are some of the many curiosities that invade the financial world today, where any hint of light produces a tremendous glare.

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